(MORE: What is TOR:CON?)
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TOR:CON Value Descriptions
8+ Very high probability of a tornado
6 - High probability of a tornado
4 - Moderate chance of a tornado nearby, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
2 - Low chance of a tornado, but hail and/or high wind gusts possible
0 - Near-zero chance of a tornado or a severe thunderstorm
The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location (for example, southern Kansas).
For more on all severe thunderstorm threats, including damaging winds and large hail, check our severe weather tracker page.
Note: By definition, a severe thunderstorm contains one or more of the following: hail at least 1 inch in diameter, wind gusts 58 mph or higher, or a tornado.
Tuesday, Dec. 10 through Thursday, Dec. 12
Probably no severe thunderstorms. TOR:CON - zero.
Friday, Dec. 13
Probably no severe thunderstorms, but a low chance of an isolated severe thunderstorm in coastal Louisiana overnight as moisture returns to the area and a wave of low pressure may form. TOR:CON - 1 or less for now
Saturday, Dec. 14
A chance of isolated severe thunderstorms in the FL panhandle, southeast AL, south GA as a wave of low pressure pushes through. At the moment instability seems low, but the situation needs to be monitored on subsequent days, as the amount of instability becomes more predictable as the event nears. TOR:CON - less than 2 for now.
Sunday, Dec. 15
A chance of an isolated severe thunderstorm in central and south FL as a cold front pushes through. TOR:CON - 1
Monday, Dec. 16
No severe thunderstorms. TOR:CON - zero